Pete Buttigieg
The bad news is his opponents are sitting on a number of potentially explosive scandals, including the South Bend secret tapes— which can be easily weaponized, should it become necessary.
Given his already shaky standing among African-American voters, it seems unlikely Buttigieg can win the nomination outright (contested convention is another story).
Andrew Yang
The bad news is selection bias. Those that know of Yang are more likely to have certain interests (Joe Rogan, Reddit, bitcoin, memes, etc.). It would stand to reason that that demographic would be more open to Yang’s candidacy than would the broader Democratic base.
The most confounding aspect of Yang’s candidacy is his unwillingness to reach out to traditional Democratic constituencies– reliable Democratic voters. Instead, Yang focuses on right-leaning podcast audiences– something that could be helpful in a general erection, but certainly not now!
Beto O’Rourke
The bad news is that Beto may not qualify for the November debate, and barring a huge surge, probably won’t qualify for the debate in December. If that happens, his remaining supporters could jump ship.
For the record, MFP currently boasts an 87% accuracy rate.
