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MFP accurately reax to Trump caves on government shutdown

Musha Hadeen Published January 25, 2019

Despite her total and complete victory on Friday, Nancy Pelosi told reporters she still isn’t sure she will allow Trump to deliver the State of the Regime next Tuesday.

Biggest winner
Runner-up is Nancy Pelosi. She went from a dismal favorability rating of -23 to a Trump-like -13 in 6 weeks.

But the biggest winner are DACA recipients.

MAGA is ready to cut a deal, and any deal– short-term or otherwise, post-2020 or otherwise– will have DACA amnesty as its starting point.

What’s going to happen now?
I already told you how this would end back in December.

Negotiations, then brinkmanship, then more negotiations, some more brinkmanship– then both sides agree to something along the lines of:

  • $2.5-3.75 billion for border security (most of it going into the pockets of crony capitalist contractors).
  • Republicans get their lobbyists $$$ for obsolete, overpriced military junk that the Pentagon doesn’t want or need.
  • Democrats get their lobbyists $$$ for green solar scams that goes to investors flying around on private jets.

In exchange, lobbyists will kick back money into politicians’ reerection campaigns– and the cycle will continue unabated in perpetuity.

But can’t Trump use emergency powers to build the wall?
The emergency powers thing is only intended to trick low-information Nazis.

  • (1) It will be tied up in court for months or years.
  • (2) Land owners will sue.
  • (3) Military will resist and/or slow walk it.
  • (4) Conservatives will be reluctant to give that power to the next Democrat President.

In the end, they’re just going to end up reinforcing existing fence. Most of the money will go to crony capitalist contractors and already-absurd law enforcement benefits and pensions.

What does this mean for 2020?
There are attempts on the Right and Left to liken Trump’s failure to erect an impenetrable, 1,500-mile wall to George HW Bush’s “read my lips, no new taxes”.

However, I would argue that “read my lips” had far less of an impact on the 1992 erection than Ross Perot’s presence (538’s anal-ysis claiming otherwise only measures the erection day results, not Perot’s effect over the course of an 18-month campaign).

Likewise, Trump’s defeat today only matters if it encourages John Kasich, Ben Sasse, or Mitt Romney to primary Trump.

For the record, MFP currently boasts an 89.1% accuracy rate.

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