Here's Why
Kamala can't win
Post-New Year's
2020 Power Rankings
Beto O'Rourke's
Path to the Nomination
Richard Ojeda's
Path to the Nomination
Post Mid-Terms
2020 Power Rankings

MFP accurately reax to Trump ordered Michael Cohen to lie to Congress

Musha Hadeen Published January 18, 2019

A new bombshell report reveals what everyone already knew– that Trump directed Michael Cohen to lie to Congress about his dealings with Russia.

How will Trump supporters react?
That can be answered with absolute divine certainty– Trump’s Nazi base will respond as follows:

  • Step 1A: Deny it.
  • Step 1B: Attack the messenger.
  • Step 2: Justify it.
  • Step 3: Dismiss it as “old news, nobody cares”.
  • Step 4: Once everyone is exhausted and moves on, deny it ever happened.
How will Republicans in Congress react?
Congressional Republicans in safe districts/states will employ the strategery outlined above.

More vulnerable congressional Republicans will make the following statement, or some variation thereof:

Certainly, it is very concerning, if true. But it is important to wait until we have all the evidence.

Then, once everyone is exhausted and moves on, they will dismiss it as “old news, nobody cares”.

Will this get Trump impeached?
The odds of impeachment are ~1 in 8, or 10-15%.

But odds of a Senate conviction is 0%, based on this very simple calculus:

  • Congressional Republicans will not support impeachment unless Trump falls below 30%.
  • Trump’s Nazi base will not abandon him, therefore, he will not fall below 30%.

Ergo, Trump will not be convicted.

And even if Trump does fall below 30%, Democrats would likely opt to defeat him in 2020 rather than engage in high-risk, high-variance impeachment proceedings.

So…what will become of this?
In about a week, the media will move on to another crisis, and this will be forgotten and/or dismissed as “old news, nobody cares”.

For the record, MFP currently boasts an 89.1% accuracy rate.

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