A characteristically German, stubbornly practical move– Angela Merkel’s “Welcome” refugee policy has been a political catastrophe.
Like Japan, Germany’s declining birth rates and shrinking workforce/tax base threatened its economy and social safety net. At the time, Germany’s population was on pace to fall from 80 to 68 million by 2060.
That is no longer a concern.
But politically, Merkel’s actions divided the country, helped fuel low-information populist movements around the globe, and jeopardized her own, increasingly tenuous hold on power– to the point that Germans now have more faith in the French President than their own leader:
|Who do Germans trust?|
|Macron (FR)||Merkel (GER)||Kurz (SRB)||Putin (RUS)||Trump (NSDAP)|
You may recall Ronald Reagan enacted a similar refugee policy in the 80’s– welcoming refugees from war-torn Asia, many of whom lacked identification– with far less fan fare.
Without social media, a coordinated opposition never materialized. In total, Reagan took in ~100,000 more refugees than Obama.