David Frum on Tuesday suggested that Rand Paul is purposely making unrealistic demands of Trumpcare as a means of keeping Obamacare in place w/out alienating conservatives:
Kentucky has seen the largest improvement in its uninsured rate of any state since [Obamacare]…a 5th of [Rand Paul’s most loyal supporters] would lose coverage if the ACA were repealed.
So what is Rand Paul doing? He wants to protect [Obamacare, but] he needs to find a conservative-sounding reason to oppose the repeal.
Why this theory is probably true
Rand knows his demand for “full repeal” cannot be met. That he would make such a demand is curious, given Rand’s eagerness to compromise on every other “principled” position:
- Amnesty – Proposed electrocuting illegal aliens in 2009, promised to help pass amnesty by 2014.
- Civil rights – Flip-flopped on the Civil Rights Act.
- Drugs – Accepted decriminalization as a compromise.
- Sending $$$ and weapons to Israel – Flip-flopped at Sheldon Adelson’s behest.
- War – Does not hold Trump to the same standards as Bush-Cheney or Obama-Hillary
As to motive, Rand’s predominantly uneducated, low-income constituents are disproportionately reliant on Obamacare benefits…
6.3 million of the 11.5 million Americans who used the ACA marketplace to buy their insurance last year live in Republican Congressional districts… rollback of the ACA would hurt older and rural Americans.
Naturally, Rand is somewhat reluctant to cause his most loyal supporters to pass away prematurely.
Why this theory is probably false
This theory is probably false because David Frum think it’s true, and David Frum is always wrong…
For the record, Trump won MI 48 to 47.