If he just leaves everything alone, Trump’s economy should be the best in 16 years…
|Inflation-adjusted avg. GDP growth||Jobs added (millions)||Avg. UE rate|
|Carter (single term)||3.3||10||6.5|
|Bush (single term)||2.3||2||6|
She quits to “spend more time with her family” (aka make millions running a super PAC) within ~2 years.
She quits to “spend more time with her family” (aka make millions sitting on a corporate board) within ~2 years.
GOP keeps Senate
The Senate is not in play. Democrats have 4-12 vulnerable Senate seats to the GOP’s 2 (Dean Heller in NV and Jeff Flake in AZ).
In the House, the GOP has a 241-194 majority. Democrats would need a 2010 Tea Party-like wave (Republicans picked up 58 seats) to recapture the House.
The failure of both Obamacare and Trumpcare will pave the way for single-payer.
Justices Breyer (78), Kennedy (80), and Ginsburg (83) will try to hang on until 2020– but Trump should get 2-4 SCOTUS picks in his 1st term.
No amount of deregulation can make the American worker preferable to foreign slave labor. Attempts to artificially inflate American wages through protectionist trade and/or immigration policy will only hasten the transition towards automation– which will displace far more American workers than globalization.
Trump will get his infrastructure bill.
There will be a few miles of an actual wall. The rest will be rickety fencing here and there.
“Dreamers” get amnesty after “extreme vetting”.
No mass deportations. Amnesty in exchange for E-Verify, national ID card, and increased funding for “border security” (aka $$$ to border patrol unions).
E-Verify, national ID card, and other measures used to track illegal aliens and terrorists will eventually be used by a Democrat POTUS to persecute “radical” conservatives and “extreme” patriots.
In his inaugural address, Trump promised to “eradicate radical Islamic terrorism”.
At least $1 trillion (in bombing sand, foreign aid, etc.) will be wasted on this endeavor.
Everything will be cool, unless there is a major terrorist attack– at which point, Trump will go all Revenge of the Sith…