MFP Erection 2018 Final Predictions

Mfp   Published November 3, 2018

For the record, MFP has a 90.0% accuracy rate. In 2016, MFP was the only outlet that exactly predicted the popular vote.

Senate Prediction: Nazis +2

I have the Nazis +3, but expect at least 1 Democrat to overperform.

Texas Totally called it. Beta will make it close, but ultimately, there simply aren’t enough educated voters in TX to overcome Trump’s Nazi base.
Pick
Result
Ted Cruz (N)
Beta O’Dork (D)
North Dakotistan A fat ugly woman in North Dakotistan has zero chance against anything approaching a competent candidate. I mean she might as well be black.
Pick
Result
Doesn’t Matter (N)
Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Tennessistan Bredesen remains well-liked, but in this Nazi stronghold, Blackburn is an absolute 100% stone cold lock.
Pick
Result
Marsha Blackburn (N)
Phil Bredesen (D)
Arizonistan Ultimately, it’s hard to imagine the avg. low-information, uneducated Arizonan pulling the lever for a bisexual hippie.
Pick
Result
Martha McSally (N)
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Florida A corrupt Nazi vs. a truly dull, uninspiring candidate. In Florida, you will never go broke betting on the Nazi.
Pick
Result
Rick Scott (N)
Bill Nelson (D)
Nevada Rosen sucks, but Heller’s vote to repeal Obamacare and his close ties to the regime could be his downfall.
Pick
Result
Dean Heller (N)
Jacky Rosen (D)
Missouraq In this backwards, 3rd world shithole, it’s Hawley’s race to lose.
Pick
Result
Josh Hawley (N)
Claire McCaskill (D)
West Virginistan Manchin has done a fantastic job tricking these 3rd world morons into believing that he’s one of them. Manchin is an absolute 100% stone cold lock.
Pick
Result
Doesn’t Matter (N)
Joe Manchin (D)
Indiana At the end of the day, you have an excellent candidate vs. some goofy-looking motherfucker. Despite the headwinds, Donnelly is an absolute 100% stone cold lock.
Pick
Result
Doesn’t Matter (N)
Joe Donnelly (D)

House Prediction: Dems +25

Totally called it:

The Democrat lead in the generic ballot will expand again to near-double digits before settling into the ~+5-7 range in the fall. The Trump regime will respond with false flags in the weeks leading up to the erection.

A 5-7 point advantage in the generic ballot historically should translate into ~+35 seats, but gerrymandered districts should limit Democrat gains to the 20-30 range.

Pre-Public Exit Polls Update 4:25pm EST

  • Andrew Gillum is a lock.
  • Jackie Rosen is a lock.
  • Jon Tester is a lock.
  • Kevin Cramer is a lock.
  • Bob Menendez is a lock.
  • Marsha Blackburn is a lock.
  • McSally-Sinema idk.
  • Nelson-Scott idk.
  • Cruz-O’Rourke within 4 points.

Update: Accuracy Audit:

Hits:

Misses:

  • Gillum – Changed pick to Gillum at last second.
  • Walker – Still can’t believe it.

MFP Accurately Reax HERE.

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MFP accurately projects

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Emergency Fap Check

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The Cuckening

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MFP accurately assigns blame for Political Violence

The GOP Establishment That Cried Wolf

Chael Sonnen: The Constitution was “written by knuckleheads w/ 8th grade educations”

Hannity: “I still believe there were WMDs in Iraq!”

Fox News’ Elizabeth MacDonald: “I was a virgin in high school”

Bill Belichick accurately hates Microsoft Surface tablets: “I just can’t take it anymore”