The Democrat lead in the generic ballot– once double digits– has evaporated. In some congressional preference polls, Democrats and Republicans are statistically tied.
Here are some articles reflecting this change of fortune:
- RCP: GOP chances have improved ‘dramatically’
- 538: So much for that Democrat “wave”
- FOX: Not so fast, Democrats!
- Hotair: Democrat lead down to 3 points.
- Hotair: Democrat lead now down to 1 point
Again, for posterity, the conventional wisdom on June 16, 2018 is that Trump and the GOP are ascendant, while Democrats’ so-called “Blue wave” has fizzled out.
MFP Official Projection
The Democrat lead in the generic ballot will expand again to near-double digits, before settling into the ~+5-7 rage in the fall. The Trump regime will respond with false flag attacks in the weeks leading the erection.
At the same time, the GRU will spam social media w/ these types of stories:
- Illegal aliens gangrape 95-year-old widow of Purple Heart recipient.
- Illegal alien deported 20X kills beautiful teen in DUI.
- Boom: Black support for Nazi policies historically high!
- Boom: Youth support for Nazi policies historically high!
When the dust settles, Democrats should pick up in the neighborhood of ~15-25 House seats.
Senate Prediction (added 06/26/18)
Ftr, MFP is currently documented to be right 93.8% (that percentage will jump once pending predictions close).
In a state Hillary won, Heller’s Trumpcare vote is deeply unpopular. But without Harry Reid around to whip the unions in Las Vegas, Heller should pull it out.
Joe Manchin is a fucking institution in West Virginistan. He’s been around forever, and he knows how to trick racists into thinking he’s on their side.
Bill Nelson is 1,000-years-old and campaigning like it. A fairly popular incumbent, Nelson is getting outhustled and outspent to oblivion by Rick Scott.
So far, Phil Bredesen leads every single poll— but I have to trust my instincts:
Marsha Blackburn is a GGILF + Tennesseans are dumb and uneducated = Blackburn ftw.
The field of battle favors Mike Braun. Trump trounced Hillary in the state 57-38, and Mike Pence remains popular figure.
Ehhh, it’s razor thin– but I’m riding w/ the superior candidate.
McCaskill sucks, but (1) she’ll outraise her opponent and (2) Obama will GoTV in urban areas.
Btw, I’m HIV-positive Josh Hawley is hit w/ [redacted] allegations at some point. Even if he wins, he’ll be vulnerable in ’24.
Despite her ugliness, Heidi Heitkamp is a good candidate.
But it’s fucking North Dakotastan. There is no way a Democrat can win if Republicans field a better-than-awful candidate.
Jon Tester and Joe Manchin are the ideal red state Democrats– they remind people of that 1 uncle or coach or father figure growing up that wasn’t a total yahoo derp like everyone else in the state.
I picked bisexual hippie social worker Kyrsten Sinema to win?? But even I can’t believe how well this is going.
Sinema got a makeover, she’s sucking up to cops, and pretending not to hate Trump– she’s doing everything she has to do to trick Arizonans.